Shopify (MEX:SHOP N) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN8.58 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:SHOP N Shopify Inc MEX:SHOP N
80 GF Score
Price MXN2,181.66
GF Value MXN2,550.54
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Shopify MEX:SHOP N 80 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN8.58 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:SHOP N with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,550.54 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shopify's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN6.599. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN8.58 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Shopify's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 65.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-16), Shopify's current stock price is MXN2181.66. Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN8.58. Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 254.27.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Shopify was 865.56. The lowest was 208.92. And the median was 409.38.


Shopify  (MEX:SHOP N) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=2181.66/8.58
=254.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Shopify was 865.56. The lowest was 208.92. And the median was 409.38.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Shopify Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 2.21 5.43 7.71

Shopify Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.97 6.09 6.71 7.71 8.58

MEX:SHOP N vs UBER, CRM, CDNS: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shopify Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:SHOP N
80GF Score
Shopify Inc MEX:SHOP N
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Shopify's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=6.599/132.2623*132.2623
=6.599

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

Shopify Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.062 102.002 -0.080
201609 -0.111 101.765 -0.144
201612 -0.052 101.449 -0.068
201703 0.009 102.634 0.012
201706 -0.242 103.029 -0.311
201709 -0.203 103.345 -0.260
201712 0.135 103.345 0.173
201803 -0.226 105.004 -0.285
201806 -0.269 105.557 -0.337
201809 -0.095 105.636 -0.119
201812 0.009 105.399 0.011
201903 0.234 106.979 0.289
201906 0.029 107.690 0.036
201909 -0.806 107.611 -0.991
201912 0.639 107.769 0.784
202003 -2.046 107.927 -2.507
202006 3.132 108.401 3.821
202009 1.403 108.164 1.716
202012 3.845 108.559 4.685
202103 2.106 110.298 2.525
202106 0.908 111.720 1.075
202109 0.491 112.905 0.575
202112 4.270 113.774 4.964
202203 -0.648 117.646 -0.729
202206 -1.387 120.806 -1.519
202209 -2.345 120.648 -2.571
202212 1.378 120.964 1.507
202303 1.200 122.702 1.293
202306 1.299 124.203 1.383
202309 3.743 125.230 3.953
202312 5.644 125.072 5.968
202403 2.991 126.258 3.133
202406 4.693 127.522 4.867
202409 6.369 127.285 6.618
202412 9.766 127.364 10.142
202503 5.733 129.181 5.870
202506 6.070 129.892 6.181
202509 7.084 130.287 7.191
202512 9.884 130.366 10.028
202603 6.599 132.262 6.599

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN8.58 mean?
Shopify (MEX:SHOP N) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN8.58 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shopify and its competitors.
Is Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Shopify's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN8.58. Overall, Shopify has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to UBER and CRM?
Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN8.58 can be compared against companies in the Software industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Software company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Software industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shopify and its competitors. Shopify's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN8.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shopify stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shopify (MEX:SHOP N) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,550.54, compared to a current price of MXN2,181.66 — trading 14.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN8.58. Shopify's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shopify (MEX:SHOP N), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN8.58 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shopify (MEX:SHOP N) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shopify stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN2,181.66 is trading 14.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,550.54. GuruFocus considers Shopify to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:SHOP N:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN8.58
  • GF Value™: MXN2,550.54 vs. price of MXN2,181.66 (14.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:SHOP N stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shopify Business Description

Address 151 O\'Connor Street, Ground Floor, Ottawa, ON, CAN, K2P 2L8
Shopify offers an e-commerce platform primarily to small and medium-size businesses. The firm has two segments. The subscription solutions segment allows Shopify merchants to conduct e-commerce on a variety of platforms, including the company's website, physical stores, pop-up stores, kiosks, social networks (Facebook), and Amazon. The merchant solutions segment offers add-on products for the platform that facilitate e-commerce and include Shopify Payments, Shopify Shipping, and Shopify Capital.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:SHOP N

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN2,181.66
Price
MXN2,550.54
GF Value